Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 16.501265 18.723653 21.143550 23.975649 27.201334 30.763335 34.998441
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 13.314909 16.211633 19.599902 23.861396 29.086810 35.296668 43.254016
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.551793 13.683420 17.589141 22.830595 29.701143 38.429069 50.404373
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.466568 11.642818 15.848359 21.845704 30.216188 41.540332 58.118865
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.062050 10.265387 14.754010 21.535964 31.585979 46.027602 68.532445
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.048441 9.267218 14.026988 21.626578 33.553378 51.714760 81.775084
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.170059 8.324953 13.233923 21.493233 35.183580 57.217814 95.861307
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.613621 7.791810 12.985055 22.175660 38.237366 65.516959 116.137567
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.037709 7.132030 12.426817 22.255884 40.317349 72.604251 135.835478
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.443984 6.344041 11.525506 21.586358 40.969527 77.337416 152.301596
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.999277 5.750880 10.874575 21.261834 42.206317 83.382952 172.574386
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.729366 5.441798 10.700382 21.820828 45.268433 93.534389 203.328860
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.510214 5.207071 10.654022 22.679088 49.218324 106.481665 243.468805
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.252386 4.851003 10.307596 22.857606 51.789201 117.092268 281.054229
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.952139 4.354722 9.586884 22.093059 52.132227 122.884434 308.863239
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.695767 3.912435 8.911564 21.311943 52.301041 128.359612 337.385137
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.517539 3.619081 8.524541 21.145805 53.947548 137.810059 378.712457
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.384435 3.410267 8.301053 21.344497 56.576027 150.351475 431.787705
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.254029 3.186078 8.003287 21.300637 58.574438 161.710981 484.625519
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.177988 3.086922 8.002690 22.049487 62.920506 180.523733 564.843487
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.081557 2.918030 7.793433 22.187838 65.576904 195.152172 636.224735
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.965073 2.675380 7.346599 21.565965 65.869482 202.870148 687.466607
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.875437 2.492333 7.033244 21.277699 67.131022 213.892793 753.132746